Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 105.346507 119.616753 135.316824 153.905842 175.358637 199.390805 228.423893
2026-02-01 85.237243 104.018291 126.386455 155.125049 191.261251 235.443676 293.937967
2026-02-08 71.785996 92.136194 117.765722 152.673595 199.379403 260.273512 346.591546
2026-02-15 63.647633 85.098758 113.372127 153.775766 210.699429 289.032272 406.715474
2026-02-22 57.711794 79.911284 110.338622 155.671280 222.492793 318.938998 471.556893
2026-03-01 51.295385 73.167258 104.161110 152.019263 225.374928 335.746824 518.565669
2026-03-08 46.210021 67.695322 99.069507 149.113091 228.606608 352.878027 567.636549
2026-03-15 42.342484 63.576640 95.458838 147.874863 233.972561 373.519559 624.611096
2026-03-22 40.561382 62.411691 96.141511 153.303255 250.422388 413.714429 719.926122
2026-03-29 38.736924 60.971327 96.189680 157.589965 265.275679 452.726192 818.363484
2026-04-05 36.124075 58.008464 93.471979 156.879117 271.288811 476.761255 892.123931
2026-04-12 34.204475 56.006014 92.129751 158.333827 281.179650 508.733192 985.411923
2026-04-19 31.730157 53.061861 89.270957 157.445996 287.892010 537.912535 1082.804833
2026-04-26 29.835036 50.970310 87.737112 158.896428 299.413809 578.408016 1212.045495
2026-05-03 27.562080 47.992069 84.319396 156.389217 302.812464 602.995221 1310.971103
2026-05-10 26.037741 46.215634 82.897694 157.521616 313.599622 644.266350 1455.156669
2026-05-17 24.765444 44.781385 81.959513 159.468295 326.261368 691.272350 1621.762458
2026-05-24 22.923836 42.113671 78.418805 155.717814 326.198688 709.928380 1721.850416
2026-05-31 21.347392 39.823193 75.405691 152.733467 327.422583 731.640190 1833.887064
2026-06-07 20.100042 38.072540 73.306168 151.461979 332.337029 762.719781 1976.975224
2026-06-14 19.651629 37.868861 74.306598 157.036396 353.841630 837.360900 2256.235466
2026-06-21 19.108734 37.425475 74.765095 161.438812 373.120238 909.424661 2544.220032
2026-06-28 18.135391 36.015374 73.062610 160.708753 379.681357 949.460307 2745.003718